Geopolitics Forecaster

1. Role Overview

Mercor is collaborating with a leading AI lab on a cutting-edge research initiative involving top superforecasters from around the world. We’re seeking geopolitical experts to contribute high-quality predictions and analytical reasoning on major international developments. This contract-based opportunity allows professionals to apply their domain expertise in a unique setting focused on enhancing AI reasoning models.

2. Key Responsibilities

• Produce structured forecasts on geopolitical events, risks, and regional dynamics
• Document your reasoning clearly, citing relevant sources and frameworks
• Assess political, military, and diplomatic developments using open-source intelligence
• Collaborate with other expert forecasters to compare and refine outputs
• Support the design and evaluation of forecasting tasks
  
  
  

3. Ideal Qualifications

• Background in political science, international relations, security studies, or related fields
• Demonstrated forecasting experience or tournament participation (e.g., GJ Open, Metaculus)
• Ability to synthesize complex geopolitical information into structured insights
• Excellent written communication and research skills
• Familiarity with current global events and international affairs
  
  
  

4. More About the Opportunity

• Remote and asynchronous — work on your own schedule
• Expected commitment: :10–20 hours/week
  
  
  

5. Compensation & Contract Terms

• $105–125/hour for U.S.-based applicants
• You’ll be classified as an independent contractor
  
  
  

6. Application Process

• Submit your Mercor profile or resume to get started
• You’ll complete a brief form
• We’ll follow up within a few days with next steps
  
  
  

7. About Mercor

• Mercor is a talent marketplace that connects top experts with leading AI labs and research organizations
• Our investors include Benchmark, General Catalyst, Adam D’Angelo, Larry Summers, and Jack Dorsey
• Thousands of professionals across domains like law, creatives, engineering, and research have joined Mercor to work on frontier projects shaping the next era of AI