Forecasting Analyst – Remote | Up to $245/hr
Mercor
Part time
Software Development
Canada
Hiring from: Canada
About The Job
Mercor connects elite creative and technical talent with leading AI research labs. Headquartered in San Francisco, our investors include Benchmark, General Catalyst, Peter Thiel, Adam D'Angelo, Larry Summers, and Jack Dorsey.
Position: Superforecaster
Type: Independent Contractor
Compensation: $140–$245/hour
Location: Remote
Commitment: 10–20 hours/week
Role Responsibilities
Must-Have
,
Mercor connects elite creative and technical talent with leading AI research labs. Headquartered in San Francisco, our investors include Benchmark, General Catalyst, Peter Thiel, Adam D'Angelo, Larry Summers, and Jack Dorsey.
Position: Superforecaster
Type: Independent Contractor
Compensation: $140–$245/hour
Location: Remote
Commitment: 10–20 hours/week
Role Responsibilities
- Deliver calibrated, evidence-backed forecasts on complex, real-world questions.
- Document forecasting rationale, methodology, and sources with clarity and structure.
- Participate in peer review and collaborative forecast refinement.
- Advise on prompt quality, scoring frameworks, and resolution criteria.
- Support the evaluation of AI-generated forecasts against human benchmarks.
Must-Have
- Recognized affiliation with a forecasting organization (e.g., GJP, Swift Centre, RFI, IIF).
- Demonstrated forecasting accuracy and calibration over multiple years.
- Experience contributing to high-stakes or public forecasting tournaments.
- Strong analytical, probabilistic, and written communication skills.
- Comfortable working independently and asynchronously on structured tasks.
- Independent contractor
- Submit your Mercor profile or resume to get started.
- Complete a brief form.
- We’ll follow up within a few days with next steps.
- For details about the interview process and platform information, please check: https://talent.docs.mercor.com/welcome/welcome
- For any help or support, reach out to: [email protected]
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